Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Only their chains to lose

Arab League criticizes Hezbollah for attacks. It's a good article.

I could be wrong, but I'm more hopeful this week than I have been in 6 long years. I think the Muslim Arab world is waking up to the fact that Iran is not their ally, and would like to conquer them. One day, the Arab States might even, maybe-perhaps, ally themselves with Israel against their common foe - Iran. I know, that sounds unlikely, but hey - politics and freedom make for strange bedfellows, and there's no uniter like a mutual threat.

And The Arab Majority may not stay silent

If his "majority" estimate is true, it's possible that the Arab Muslim world is realizing they're oppressed by a cabal of wealthy right-wing-fascist fundamentalist-religious dictators who could stand a good overthrowing.

Jason

13 Comments:

Blogger RGM said...

Two very good articles on the current situation.
First thing that sticks out here for me is that there's a lot of concern about Iran as the regional power, and all the other states in the region are starting to form a balance against the so-called "Shi'ite Crescent." They're seeing things in more in terms of power and structure instead of the traditional bandwagoning that occurs when conflict with Israel is involved. This is considered a "normal" development in IR theory (I've been writing the past couple of days about balances of power and structures, and this is one of the things I've been discussing...really interesting stuff), but it's still surprising to see given the course of history
Second, the clash within a civilization lives. The second article really sticks that point home, and hopefully this "silent majority" will become increasingly vocal, not only against Iran & the terrorist networks that it supports and claim to fight in their name, but against their own regimes that deny them the freedoms that all are entitled to and deserve to enjoy.
Third, this is the type of thing that scares the hell out of al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations. Their traditional support base is leaving them as their ideology becomes increasingly exposed to be based on a lie.

That's all for now, but if you'd like to discuss this I'd be more than happy to do so. :)

Thursday, July 20, 2006 2:54:00 AM  
Blogger Jason Bo Green said...

Richard, you're a lot more knowledgable than I am, so I'm always very interested in your thoughts - thanks.

This is considered a "normal" development in IR theory

It's funny - I know nothing at all about IR theory, but I do know quite a bit about schoolyards, apartment buildings, and neighbourhoods - and on those scales, it's a very "normal" development, too.

this is the type of thing that scares the hell out of al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations.

I don't have your background, but I agree very much.

Honestly, this is the best I've felt in 5 years and 10 months - I feel hopeful.

Thanks so much for your thoughts, Richard, always appreciate hearing them.

Thursday, July 20, 2006 5:52:00 AM  
Blogger RGM said...

Jason,
Always a pleasure to shoot the breeze on this type of topic. There's a lot of room for hope yet, it can just get hard to see when there's a veil of darkness always looming.

Thursday, July 20, 2006 8:42:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thanks for these great posts, very interesting reading. I have also appreciated your comments on several blogs, your common sense is a breath of fresh air (espcially for the Liberal blogs)!

Cheers,

Charley

Thursday, July 20, 2006 12:15:00 PM  
Blogger Chuckercanuck said...

jason,

awesome links. i also think you're a lot of fun everywhere you drop comments. (cherniak - oooooo.)

Thursday, July 20, 2006 4:56:00 PM  
Blogger Jason Bo Green said...

Well thanks Charley - I aim to be fun while I'm trying to learn. :)

Chucker, I'm a pale, pale imitation of you, good buddy.

Thursday, July 20, 2006 5:27:00 PM  
Blogger Cherniak_WTF said...

Now, the articles are fine but don't you think that US foreign policy may have had the opposite effect with regards to Iran?
Iraq, once Iran's nemesis is gone.

Thus Iraq and the radical community maybe finding solice toghether...

Thursday, July 20, 2006 6:15:00 PM  
Blogger Jason Bo Green said...

Hey Cherniak's Evil Twin!

I don't know, this whole site is about me learning, really - now, I'm not sure I follow your thoughtline correctly, and hey, I could be way off, but what you say is, I think, key: Iraq is increasingly under the influence of Iran, and no longer it's sworn nemesis - now Iran is stronger, with Iraq at it's side, making a more fearful foe out of Iran for everyone else in the region.

I think.

Thursday, July 20, 2006 6:35:00 PM  
Blogger Cherniak_WTF said...

A while ago, you had Iran and Iraq fighting each other - nasty but at least we were not involved.

Then you had Iran and the Taliban, well not to pleased with each other.

Since US foreign policy has pretty eliminated Iraq and the Taliban are no longer a force, where is a good extremist to go?
Right now, I'd be looking at Iran, they have the money and right kind of whacko in place.

So if I'm some kind of extremist, I'm taking my marching orders from Iran.

Thursday, July 20, 2006 7:06:00 PM  
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